C Curriculum Explorer
Mathematics·Probability·conceptual

The Probability Scale

Understand probability as a measure on a scale from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain); use the language of probability including likely, unlikely, certain, and impossible

Suggested ages 11–13

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Evidence of understanding

  • Place everyday events on a 0-to-1 probability scale with justification
  • Explain why a fair six-sided die gives each number a probability of 1/6
  • Distinguish between equally likely outcomes (fair coin) and unequally likely outcomes (biased spinner)

Assessment prompt

Can The Probability Scale explain that probability goes from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain), place events on that scale as numbers, and tell you whether a game is fair or not?

Standards alignment

7.SP.5US · ccss-math

Understand that the probability of a chance event is a number between 0 and 1

Common Core State Standards for Mathematics · 7

KS3.Maths.Prob.1GB · uk-nc-2013

Analyse Probability Experiments

The national curriculum in England: Key stages 1 and 2 framework document · Key Stage 3